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Aussies are Falling Short of Key National Health Targets, According to Scientists who have used an innovative technique to Forecast Future Dietary Trends.
New Research From CSIORO, Australia’s National Science Agency, Shows Australians’ Eating Habits are on a downward Spiral and without significant intelligence intelligence Ambitious 2030 Health targets.
Findings from the new study, Published in the Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public HealthPredict the consumption of discretionary foods to surge, fruit intake will decline, and vegetables will remain well below recommendations over the next five years.
Key findings show:
Discretionary Food Consumption (Ultra Processed Foods and Sugary Drinks) Will Soar by 18% by 2030.
- Fruit Consumption will drop by Nearly 10%.
- Vegetable Intake Will Remain Stagnant at Well Bell Bell Bell Recommended Levels.
- Young Adults (18–30) are the only age group showing some positive trends, YET Still Consume Excessive Amounts of Discretionary Foods.
- The research also indicated some concerning trends for Older Australians, with that theSE over 71 showing the steepest projectioned decline in fruit consumption – A. 14% drop by 2030.
Using Predictive Modeling Techniques, CSIORO Researchers Analyzed Nine Years of Data from Over 275,000 Australian Adults to Forecast Future Dietary Trends and Compare Against the Nural Targets.
Dr. Gilly Hendrie, Senior CSIORCH Scientist said this innovative approvals results Researchers to Anatiicipate and Address Potential Public Health Challenenes before these Preventive Health Planning.
“Predictive Modeling Gives Us a Powerful Early Warning System,” Dr. Hendrie said. “Rather than waiting to see the impact of poor dietary habits, we can now identify concerning trends and intervene before they become major public health issues.”
The Findings come as Australia aims to achieve nutrition targets of:
- Two servings of fruit per day
- Five servings of vegetables per day
- Reducing Discretionary Foods to Less Than 20% of Total Energy INTAKE
The targets are part of Australia’s National Preventive Health Strategy (2021-2030), which identifies poor diet as a key risk factor for chronic diseases, as well as facials Care costs and reduced quality of life.
Improving access to and consumption of healthy diets is one of the strategy’S Seven Key Focus Areas, Highlighting The Critical Role of Nutrition in Preventing in Preventing Chronic Disease and Supporting Long-Term PUBLIC Health.
“The Gap Between Our Current Dietary Trajectory and Our National Health Targets is Widening,” Dr. Hendrie said. “We have five years to get back on track with our diets and reverse these concerning trends.”
More information:
Matthew Ryan Et Al, Fruit, Vegetables and Discretionary Food Intake in Australian Adults: Past trends and predicted progress towards population preventant targets for 2030, Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health (2025). Doi: 10.1016/j.anzjph.2025.100223
Citation: The Aussie diet in 2030
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